By 2027-01-31, Cal OES will file or publicly post its first report required by California Business and Professions Code §22757.13(g). A zero-incident report counts; a portal, press release, or legislative description without the statutory report does not.
The proposition’s date, 31 January 2027, is read as 23:59:59 Pacific time, which is 2027-02-01T07:59:59Z. The statute sets a start date (‘Beginning January 1, 2027, and annually thereafter’) and transmission to the Legislature and the Governor, not a public filing deadline. The 31 January window is this forecast’s own choice.
Open · source report · forecast · not verified
- Evidence
- source report · single-elicitor forecast
- Conclusion
- forecast (not a grade)
- Checked
- Not verified
- Scope
- HRL-inferred prospective forecast over public institutional records; no safety-outcome inference.
- California Office of Emergency Services ↗First report required by Business and Professions Code section 22757.13(g).
Draft candidate, not public preregistration. Full resolution cards, source snapshots, attribution, baselines, independent checker, and publication admission are outstanding.
The proposition and candidate probability are reproduced from the frozen six-entry draft slate. Inclusion here does not register the prediction. All dates and resolution details require the full registration card before prospective scoring begins.
Resolution and registration state
By 2027-01-31, Cal OES will file or publicly post its first report required by California Business and Professions Code §22757.13(g). A zero-incident report counts; a portal, press release, or legislative description without the statutory report does not.
- Deadline
- · candidate normalization; full card review pending
- Registration
- Not registered
- Baseline
- Not supplied
- Checker
- Not appointed in this record
Correction history
No correction to this record has been published.
Record identity
SHA-256 of the Markdown source, including its frontmatter:
2a0eb0e3b299dbc09c1e25f3b877d9a155778826db594484fb7b81d89306c200A digest identifies bytes. It does not verify truth or certify publication.