By 2027-09-30, NAAIMES will publish or formally co-issue a joint evaluation report identifying at least three member institutes, naming at least three model versions from at least two developers, reporting a common numeric model-level metric for every named model, and disclosing the task set, scoring rule, model/version, and principal inference or elicitation settings.
NAAIMES, as named by its source: “the International Network for Advanced AI Measurement, Evaluation and Science (NAAIMES) – formerly the International Network of AI Safety Institutes” (UK AI Security Institute, “International evaluation best practice and open questions in AI measurement”, retrieved ). This expansion is not part of the proposition.
The resolver for this forecast is not yet bound. The linked source page is the U.S. CAISI centre, not the network’s archive.
Open · source report · forecast · not verified
- Evidence
- source report · single-elicitor forecast
- Conclusion
- forecast (not a grade)
- Checked
- Not verified
- Scope
- HRL-inferred prospective forecast over public institutional records; no safety-outcome inference.
- AI measurement and evaluation network ↗Network publication and co-issuer evidence required by the proposition.
Draft candidate, not public preregistration. Full resolution cards, source snapshots, attribution, baselines, independent checker, and publication admission are outstanding.
The proposition and candidate probability are reproduced from the frozen six-entry draft slate. Inclusion here does not register the prediction. All dates and resolution details require the full registration card before prospective scoring begins.
Resolution and registration state
By 2027-09-30, NAAIMES will publish or formally co-issue a joint evaluation report identifying at least three member institutes, naming at least three model versions from at least two developers, reporting a common numeric model-level metric for every named model, and disclosing the task set, scoring rule, model/version, and principal inference or elicitation settings.
- Deadline
- · candidate normalization; full card review pending
- Registration
- Not registered
- Baseline
- Not supplied
- Checker
- Not appointed in this record
Correction history
No correction to this record has been published.
Record identity
SHA-256 of the Markdown source, including its frontmatter:
37fe328fa31d1664b8c9622d89cda62d482dd087f09921fa151ec9654eefe9d4A digest identifies bytes. It does not verify truth or certify publication.