Cunningham and colleagues’ calibration suggests current feedback is below self-sustaining acceleration while strengthening. Separately, Burtsev derives conditions under which amplification can precede visible acceleration.
This wording was corrected on 25 September 2026: see the correction.
Open · model estimate · estimated · support checked
- Evidence
- model estimate · economic modelling, derivation
- Conclusion
- estimated (not a grade)
- Checked
- Source support checked ·
- Recorded checker
- Hapax Research Labs source review; no independent replication claimed. The checker is quoted as recorded; the record uses an earlier form of the lab’s name.
- Scope
- Specified economic models and their assumptions; not an observation of a deployed threshold crossing.
- Modelled feedback in AI research ↗Version 1 abstract; calibration of feedback dynamics.
- Recursive reproduction and acceleration ↗Version 1; theoretical conditions for amplification.
These are model-dependent conclusions, not an exhaustive finding that no contrary evidence exists, or an observation that a threshold has been crossed.
Checking the published description does not validate its assumptions. A change in the measured quantities on which the models depend would require a new assessment, with its own scope and source check.
Correction history
Record identity
SHA-256 of the Markdown source, including its frontmatter:
67836a74bb8e2578ec2f581823f521918ad07223e467639b03560c1aec7e3766A digest identifies bytes. It does not verify truth or certify publication.